{"id":1856,"date":"2020-06-24T20:00:49","date_gmt":"2020-06-24T17:00:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/trockist.net\/?p=1856"},"modified":"2020-06-29T18:55:56","modified_gmt":"2020-06-29T15:55:56","slug":"lubnan-devrimci-sureci-ve-olasiliklar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/2020\/06\/24\/lubnan-devrimci-sureci-ve-olasiliklar\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u00fcbnan devrimci s\u00fcreci ve olas\u0131l\u0131klar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>L\u00fcbnan\u2019da kapitalist s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fc politikalar\u0131na ve mezhep\u00e7i rejime kar\u015f\u0131 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n Ekim ay\u0131nda kitlelerin ayaklanmas\u0131yla ba\u015flayan devrimci s\u00fcre\u00e7, COV\u0130D-19 pandemisinin \u00fclkedeki ekonomik krizi daha da derinle\u015ftirmesiyle birlikte s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 emek\u00e7ilerin devrimci ayaklanmas\u0131 sonucu Saad Hariri h\u00fck\u00fcmeti istifa etmi\u015f, yerine 21 Ocak tarihinde eski E\u011fitim Bakan\u0131 Hasan Diyab \u00f6nderli\u011finde yeni bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurulmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Demokratik gericili\u011fin karakteri<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmet \u201cba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z\u201d ve \u201cteknokrat\u201d s\u0131fatlar\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131na s\u0131\u011f\u0131narak bir prestij yakalamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da bunun bir maskeden ibaret oldu\u011funun L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 emek\u00e7iler taraf\u0131ndan anla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 pek de uzun s\u00fcrmedi. Bir yanda \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 neoliberal kapitalist s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesine endeksli olan ve bunun dayana\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da emperyalizm eliyle, \u00fclkedeki i\u00e7 sava\u015f sonras\u0131nda in\u015fa edilen, mezhep\u00e7i rejimin bekas\u0131nda oldu\u011funu bilen L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 kapitalistler. \u00d6te yanda ise kapitalist s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fsizli\u011fe, yoksullu\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 krizin faturas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6dememek i\u00e7in ayaklanan ve rejimin bask\u0131c\u0131 politikalar\u0131n\u0131, mezhep\u00e7i kay\u0131rmac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve yolsuzluklar\u0131n\u0131 hedefine alan L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 emek\u00e7iler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Teknokrat g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcml\u00fc rejim temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan Diyab h\u00fck\u00fcmeti iki ana g\u00f6revle ba\u015fa geldi. Rejimin ayakta tutulmas\u0131 ve s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fc d\u00fczeninin devam\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in kitlelerin k\u0131smi demokratik taviz ya da s\u00f6ylemlerle yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131. Yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin, \u00fclkenin kritik bir d\u00f6neme\u00e7ten ge\u00e7ti\u011fi ve halk\u0131n rejimden duydu\u011fu ho\u015fnutsuzluk kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda daha demokratik bir se\u00e7im yasas\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rlanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyerek kurulmu\u015f olmas\u0131 tam da bu d\u00fczleme oturmakta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131ndaki adaletsizli\u011fe, kamu kaynaklar\u0131na eri\u015fememeye, yolsuzluklara ve i\u015fsizli\u011fe kar\u015f\u0131 isyan eden emek\u00e7i halk, Diab\u2019\u0131n bu ikiy\u00fczl\u00fc s\u00f6ylemine aldanmayarak, yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmete kar\u015f\u0131 yeni slogan\u0131yla seferberli\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc: \u201cHepsi gitsin!\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Pandemi ve derinle\u015fen ekonomik kriz &nbsp;<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u00fcnyay\u0131 etkisi alt\u0131na alan COV\u0130D-19 salg\u0131n\u0131ndan \u00f6nce tarihinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik krizinin i\u00e7erisinde olan L\u00fcbnan\u2019da pandemiyle birlikte kriz daha da derinle\u015fti. \u00dclke d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 miktar\u0131n\u0131n GSYH\u2019nin y\u00fczde 170\u2019ine tekab\u00fcl eden 92 milyar dolara y\u00fckselmesinin ard\u0131ndan h\u00fck\u00fcmet, Mart ay\u0131nda temerr\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve IMF ile yeni bor\u00e7 yap\u0131land\u0131rma planlar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ayn\u0131 zamanda, t\u00fcm kapitalist h\u00fck\u00fcmetler gibi Diab h\u00fck\u00fcmeti de salg\u0131n s\u00fcresince emek\u00e7iler yarar\u0131na, kamu sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zeten uygulamalara gitmek yerine patronlar\u0131n servet ve k\u00e2rlar\u0131n\u0131 muhafaza edebilmeleri i\u00e7in krizin faturas\u0131n\u0131 emek\u00e7i halka y\u00fcklemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bunun sonucu ise \u00fclkedeki toplumsal krizin daha da derinle\u015fmesi ve iktidar\u0131n, halk sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil de temsil etti\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131n bekas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zeterek eylemleri s\u00f6n\u00fcmlendirmek i\u00e7in soka\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kma yasa\u011f\u0131na ba\u015fvurmas\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pandemi ile beraber derinle\u015fen toplumsal \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn tablosu ise \u015fu \u015fekilde: \u00fclkede gen\u00e7 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 30\u2019un \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken, toplam i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 55 band\u0131na dayanm\u0131\u015f durumda. L\u00fcbnan n\u00fcfusunun yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 60\u2019\u0131 ise yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda bir ya\u015fama mahk\u00fbm edilmi\u015f vaziyette. Mart ay\u0131ndan bu yana yerel para birimindeki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 150 oran\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131rken (1 dolar 1500 L\u00fcbnan liras\u0131 iken, \u015fu an 4000 L\u00fcbnan liras\u0131 d\u00fczeyinde) artan enflasyonla birlikte emek\u00e7i halk\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc de yerle bir olmu\u015f durumda. \u00dcretimden ziyade ihracata dayal\u0131 bir ekonomik modeli olan \u00fclkede b\u00f6ylesi bir kriz ve pandemi ortam\u0131nda bu\u011fday ve ila\u00e7 gibi temel maddelere eri\u015fimde de ya\u015fanmakta olan sorunlar olas\u0131 bir g\u0131da ve sa\u011fl\u0131k krizinin alarm\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7almakta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u00f6ylesi bir atmosferde h\u00fck\u00fcmet ise bir ekonomik plan olu\u015fturarak IMF ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u0130\u00e7eri\u011finde emek\u00e7i halk yarar\u0131na hi\u00e7bir d\u00fczenleme yer almayan plan\u0131n temelini hidrokarbon gibi \u00fclke do\u011fal kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zelle\u015ftirilmesi yoluyla yerli ve yabanc\u0131 kapitalistlere yeni s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fc kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 olu\u015fturmakta. IMF ile yap\u0131lacak herhangi bir anla\u015fman\u0131n da sonucunun daha fazla ekonomik kesinti planlar\u0131 vas\u0131tas\u0131yla krizin faturas\u0131n\u0131n kendilerine y\u00fcklenece\u011fi oldu\u011funun bilincinde olan L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 emek\u00e7iler, ekonomik ve toplumsal krize, yozla\u015fm\u0131\u015f mezhep\u00e7i rejime ve onun temsilcisi Diab h\u00fck\u00fcmetine, IMF ile yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere kar\u015f\u0131 yeniden seferber oldular.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Kitle seferberlikleri ve olas\u0131l\u0131klar&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Salg\u0131n ko\u015fullar\u0131nda soka\u011fa d\u00f6k\u00fclen kitlelerin m\u00fccadelesi, 27 Nisan\u2019da polis ve ordu g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin Tripoli\u2019de 26 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki Fouad Samman\u2019\u0131 eylem s\u0131ras\u0131nda vurarak \u00f6ld\u00fcrmesiyle \u00fclkenin bir\u00e7ok \u015fehrine yay\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 ezilen ve s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fclenlerin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n Ekim ay\u0131ndan bu yana s\u00fcrmekte olan devrimci ayaklanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fekillendiren iki ana eksen bulunmakta. Kapitalist krizin faturas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6dememek ve yozla\u015fm\u0131\u015f mezhep\u00e7i rejimden kurtulmak. Bug\u00fcn bu m\u00fccadelenin hedefi ise bankalar haline gelmi\u015f durumda. Mezhep\u00e7i rejimin liderlerinin \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n \u00fclkedeki bankalar\u0131n hissedarlar\u0131 olmas\u0131 ve bankalar\u0131n bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te emek\u00e7i halk\u0131n kendi paras\u0131na eri\u015fmesini engellemesi kitleler nezdinde bankalar\u0131 ekonomik ve demokratik taleplerini kesi\u015ftiren bir m\u00fccadele hedefi haline getirmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak dokuz ayd\u0131r kendili\u011finden bir \u015fekilde ilerlemekte olan devrimci s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7erisinde, kitlelerin ekonomik, sosyal ve demokratik taleplerini, kapitalizmden kopu\u015f ve i\u015f\u00e7i-emek\u00e7i h\u00fck\u00fcmeti perspektifiyle birle\u015ftiren bir alternatif hen\u00fcz a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kabilmi\u015f de\u011fil. Bunun sonucunda ise d\u00fczen g\u00fc\u00e7leri kitle hareketini b\u00f6lmek\/yenilgiye u\u011fratmak ve rejimi ayakta tutmak ad\u0131na s\u00fcrekli bir aray\u0131\u015f i\u00e7erisindeler. Mezhep\u00e7i temellerde in\u015fa edilen bask\u0131c\u0131 bir rejimde de egemenlerin elinde bu yolda kullanmak i\u00e7in bir\u00e7ok ara\u00e7 bulunmakta: Ordu ve polis g\u00fcc\u00fc, Diyab h\u00fck\u00fcmeti benzeri demokratik gerici taktiklere ba\u015fvurmak ve Hizbullah benzeri kar\u015f\u0131 devrimci, mezhep\u00e7i yap\u0131lanmalar eliyle kitleleri b\u00f6lmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak. L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 emek\u00e7iler \u015fimdiye kadar rejimden gelen t\u00fcm bu tehditler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda birlik ve m\u00fccadele diren\u00e7lerini koruyabildiler. Ancak hem ekonomik ve toplumsal \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, hem de pandeminin sonucunda emek\u00e7ilerin \u00f6demekte oldu\u011fu bedel a\u011f\u0131rla\u015f\u0131rken, geli\u015fmekte olan kitle seferberli\u011finin i\u00e7erisinden rejimden ve kapitalizmden kopu\u015f yolunda bir \u00f6nderli\u011fin in\u015fas\u0131 en acil ihtiya\u00e7 olarak kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda durmakta.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u00fcbnan\u2019da kapitalist s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fc politikalar\u0131na ve mezhep\u00e7i rejime kar\u015f\u0131 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n Ekim ay\u0131nda kitlelerin ayaklanmas\u0131yla ba\u015flayan devrimci s\u00fcre\u00e7, COV\u0130D-19 pandemisinin \u00fclkedeki ekonomik krizi daha da derinle\u015ftirmesiyle birlikte s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 emek\u00e7ilerin devrimci ayaklanmas\u0131 sonucu Saad Hariri h\u00fck\u00fcmeti istifa etmi\u015f, yerine 21 Ocak tarihinde eski E\u011fitim Bakan\u0131 Hasan Diyab \u00f6nderli\u011finde yeni bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurulmu\u015ftu. Demokratik gericili\u011fin karakteri Yeni [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":1860,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[644],"tags":[815,951,852],"class_list":["post-1856","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arap-devrimleri","tag-lubnan","tag-lubnan-devrimi","tag-lubnan-ekim-devrimi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1856","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1856"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1856\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1861,"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1856\/revisions\/1861"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1860"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1856"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1856"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trockist.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1856"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}